Determining the spatial distribution of environmental and socio-economic suitability for human leptospirosis in the face of limited epidemiological data.

BACKGROUND: Leptospirosis is among the leading zoonotic causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Knowledge about spatial patterns of diseases and their underlying processes have the potential to guide intervention efforts. However, leptospirosis is often an underreported and misdiagnosed disease and consequently, spatial patterns of the disease remain unclear. In the absence of accurate epidemiological data in the urban agglomeration of Santa Fe, we used a knowledge-based index and cluster analysis to identify spatial patterns of environmental and socioeconomic suitability for the disease and potential underlying processes that shape them. METHODS: We geocoded human leptospirosis cases derived from the Argentinian surveillance system during the period 2010 to 2019. Environmental and socioeconomic databases were obtained from satellite images and publicly available platforms on the web. Two sets of human leptospirosis determinants were considered according to the level of their support by the literature and expert knowledge. We used the Zonation algorithm to build a knowledge-based index and a clustering approach to identify distinct potential sets of determinants. Spatial similarity and correlations between index, clusters, and incidence rates were evaluated. RESULTS: We were able to geocode 56.36% of the human leptospirosis cases reported in the national epidemiological database. The knowledge-based index showed the suitability for human leptospirosis in the UA Santa Fe increased from downtown areas of the largest cities towards peri-urban and suburban areas. Cluster analysis revealed downtown areas were characterized by higher levels of socioeconomic conditions. Peri-urban and suburban areas encompassed two clusters which differed in terms of environmental determinants. The highest incidence rates overlapped areas with the highest suitability scores, the strength of association was low though (CSc r = 0.21, P < 0.001 and ESc r = 0.19, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: We present a method to analyze the environmental and socioeconomic suitability for human leptospirosis based on literature and expert knowledge. The methodology can be thought as an evolutive and perfectible scheme as more studies are performed in the area and novel information regarding determinants of the disease become available. Our approach can be a valuable tool for decision-makers since it can serve as a baseline to plan intervention measures.

Meta-analysis of risk factors for canine leptospirosis.

Leptospirosis is one of the most widespread zoonotic diseases, with more than one million human cases reported worldwide every year. Dogs could develop infections that range from asymptomatic to severe, and shed leptospires with their urine. Given their close contact with humans, dogs may act both as epidemiological links or as sentinels of pathogenic leptospires in the environment. The aims of our study were to quantitatively summarize the overall prevalence of leptospiral antibodies and to identify factors associated with the probabilities of infection. We searched the electronic databases Scopus, PubMed, PMC and ScienceDirect for observational studies on canine leptospirosis published between 1989 and December 2019 and written in English, Spanish or Portuguese. We fitted a series of multilevel random effects meta-analysis models to estimate the prevalence of antibodies against Leptospira for different types of dogs, health statuses, diagnostic tests, geographic regions and income categories of the countries. We also fitted a number of random effects meta-analysis models to estimate the pooled odds-ratio of factors associated with canine leptospirosis. After removing duplicates and articles not meeting selection criteria, a total of 130 studies in 91 articles were included in this work. We found lower seroprevalence estimates in North America countries (P<0.001) and other high income countries (P<0.001). We also found higher probabilities of leptospiral infection in adult (P=0.017), male dogs with access to the streets (P<0.001). Identifying the profile of dogs that are more exposed to leptospirosis could be useful in the design of public health strategies for the prevention and control of leptospirosis.

Orthohantavirus genotype Lechiguanas in Oligoryzomys nigripes (Rodentia: Cricetidae): New evidence of host-switching.

To identify and predict situations of increased risk of orthohantavirus infection in humans, it is necessary to study the relationships between the virus and its rodent hosts. The present study investigated orthohantavirus infection in an assemblage of wild Sigmodontinae rodents of the Paraná Delta, Argentina, and providing new evidence of host-switching events. Rodents belonging to the species Oxymycterus rufus (n = 187), Akodon azarae (n = 82), Oligoryzomys flavescens (n = 80), Oligoryzomys nigripes (n = 47), Scapteromys aquaticus (n = 38), Deltamys kempi (n = 7) and Holochilus brasiliensis (n = 2) were captured at 4 sampling sites during 20 trapping sessions. Blood samples were analyzed by IgG ELISA and livers by a nested reverse transcription PCR for the diagnosis of orthohantavirus infection. The amplified products of the S and M orthohantavirus genomes were sequenced and analyzed to determine similarities with species of the Orthohantavirus genus. The species of the Oligoryzomys positive to the virus were confirmed by amplifying and sequencing the complete cyt b gene. Of the 443 serum samples analyzed by IgG ELISA, A. azarae presented the highest host-specific prevalence value (10/82, 12.2%) followed by Ol. nigripes (4/47, 8.5%) and Ox. rufus (1/187, 0.5%). All the sero-positive Ol. nigripes (n = 4) were positive to the amplification of the S and M segments of the Lechiguanas genotype (98% nucleotide identity for both segments). This is surprising given that Ol. nigripes has been previously associated with Juquitiba genotype, not Lechiguanas. The latter is generally associated with Ol. flavescens, which in our study were all sero-negative. In addition, the association Ox. rufus - Pergamino genotype found here is, to our knowledge, novel and another potential evidence of host-switching considering that Pergamino has been originally associated with A. azarae. These findings contribute to the building evidence that contradicts the one-genotype-one-reservoir species premise in the association between rodent reservoirs and orthohantaviruses, and supports the hypothesis that the community structure of sympatric host species may contribute to orthohantavirus dynamics.

Primer informe de Leptospira interrogans en el roedor sigmodontino Scapteromys aquaticus

[RESUMEN]. La leptospirosis es una enfermedad zoonótica de distribución mundial que puede transmitirse por contacto directo o indirecto con orina o tejidos de animales infectados. En Argentina, la leptospirosis es endémica en la provincia de Santa Fe y presenta brotes epidémicos durante las inundaciones. Sin embargo, se sabe muy poco sobre el papel que cumplen los roedores silvestres en la diseminación de la enfermedad en el país. El objetivo de este estudio fue identificar las especies hospederas de leptospiras patógenas entre los roedores presentes en un asentamiento ribereño de la provincia de Santa Fe. Se realizó un muestreo de roedores durante octubre de 2015. Los riñones de los animales capturados se analizaron por real-time PCR para el gen LipL32 de leptospiras patógenas. En los animales que resultaron positivos, se realizó test de microaglutinación (MAT) y tipificación molecular por amplificación del gen 16S rRNA y dos esquemas de MLST. Se capturaron 37 roedores de las especies Akodon azarae, Cavia aperea, Oligoryzomys flavescens, Rattus rattus y Scapteromys aquaticus. En el análisis por real-time PCR resultó positivo un macho de Scapteromys aquaticus. El suero de este individuo y del resto de los S. aquaticus capturados (n = 18) se analizaron por test de microaglutinación (MAT), y fueron no reactivos para los 10 serovares probados. La amplificación del gen 16S rRNA identificó la especie infectante como Leptospira interrogans, mientras que no se obtuvo amplificación para los dos esquemas de MLST. El hallazgo de este estudio aporta nueva información acerca de presencia de leptospiras patógenas en roedores silvestres, que es relevante para la zona por tratarse de una especie ampliamente distribuida en ambientes pantanosos e inundables de América del Sur.

[ABSTRACT]. Leptospirosis is a globally distributed zoonosis that can be transmitted through direct or indirect contact with the urine or tissues of infected animals. In Argentina, leptospirosis is endemic in the province of Santa Fe and epidemic outbreaks occur during floods. However, very little is known about the role that wild rodents play in the spread of the disease in Argentina. The objective of this study was to identify the host species of pathogenic Leptospira among rodents in a riverine settlement in the province of Santa Fe. We conducted a trapping session in October 2015. Kidneys of the captured animals were analyzed by real-time PCR for the LipL32 gene of pathogenic Leptospira. Animals that were positive were subjected to microscopic agglutination test (MAT) and molecular typing by amplification of the 16S rRNA gene and two multilocus sequence typing (MLST) schemes. A total of 37 rodents of the species Akodon azarae, Cavia aperea, Oligoryzomys flavescens, Rattus rattus, and Scapteromys aquaticus were captured. Real-time PCR found one male Scapteromys aquaticus that was positive. The serum of this individual and of the rest of the S. aquaticus captured (n = 18) were analyzed by MAT and were non-reactive for the 10 serovars tested. Amplification of the 16S rRNA gene identified the infective species as Leptospira interrogans, while amplification could not be obtained for the two MLST schemes. The findings of this study contribute new information concerning the presence of pathogenic Leptospira in wild rodents, which is relevant in this region because the species is widely distributed in swampy and flood-prone environments of South America.

[RESUMO]. A leptospirose é uma doença zoonótica de distribuição mundial transmitida pelo contato direto ou indireto com a urina ou os tecidos de animais infectados. Na Argentina, a leptospirose é endêmica na Província de Santa Fé com surtos epidêmicos ocorrendo com as enchentes. Sabe-se pouco sobre o papel dos roedores silvestres na propagação da doença no país. O objetivo deste estudo foi identificar as espécies hospedeiras de leptospiras patogênicas em roedores encontrados em um núcleo de povoamento ribeirinho na Província de Santa Fé. A amostragem dos roedores foi feita no mês de outubro de 2015. Os tecidos dos rins dos animais capturados foram analisados com a técnica de reação em cadeia da polimerase em tempo real (PCR-RT) quanto à presença do gene LipL32 de leptospiras patógenas. Para os animais com resultados positivos, foi realizado o teste de microaglutinação (MAT) e tipagem molecular baseada na amplificação do gene 16S rRNA e dois esquemas de tipagem por sequenciamento de locos múltiplos (MLST). Ao todo, foram capturados 37 roedores das espécies Akodon azarae, Cavia aperea, Oligoryzomys flavescens, Rattus e Scapteromys aquaticus. O ensaio de PCR-RT foi positivo em um roedor macho da espécie Scapteromys aquaticus. Os soros deste animal e dos outros S. aquaticus capturados (n = 18) foram analisados com o MAT e os resultados foram não reagentes para os 10 sorovares testados. A amplificação do gene 16S rRNA permitiu identificar a espécie infetante como sendo Leptospira interrogans e não houve amplificação nos dois esquemas de MLST. O achado deste estudo fornece um novo dado quanto à presença de leptospiras patogênicas em roedores silvestres, importante para esta área por se tratar de uma espécie de ampla distribuição em terras pantanosas e inundáveis da América do Sul.

Knowledge, attitudes and practices (KAP) regarding leptospirosis among residents of riverside settlements of Santa Fe, Argentina.

BACKGROUND: Leptospirosis is a global and re-emerging zoonotic disease caused by Leptospira spirochetes that are shed into the environment by infected animals. Humans can get infected via contact with animal hosts or contaminated environment. In Argentina, the highest annual incidences were reported in the province of Santa Fe, where epidemic outbreaks occurred during flooding events. This study examined the knowledge, attitudes and practices (KAP) regarding leptospirosis among residents of riverside slum settlements from Santa Fe after a major flood. METHODS AND FINDINGS: A cross-sectional questionnaire was administered to 113 residents of 3 riverside settlements from Santa Fe. The influence of knowledge and attitudes regarding leptospirosis on the likelihood that an individual will use preventive practices were evaluated using linear mixed-effects models. The majority of respondents (83.2%) had previously heard about leptospirosis; however specific knowledge about leptospirosis was limited. The results of the modeling efforts, show that the likelihood of using preventive practices was associated with having greater knowledge score, but not with more positive attitudes. We also found that females were more likely to use safer practices than males. CONCLUSIONS: Even though the majority of respondents had heard about leptospirosis, a high percentage of them had limited knowledge regarding the severity of the disease and its prevalence in the region. Our results suggest that public health interventions in these riverside communities should focus on educating the public on the multiple dimensions of leptospirosis in order to attain greater adherence to preventive practices instead of intending to change the perceptions or attitudes towards the disease, which did not have a significant influence. The key challenge lies in identifying effective strategies to reach the high risk group for leptospirosis here that is male fishermen, who spend most of the time in precarious campsites on the river islands.

[First report on Leptospira interrogans in the sigmodontine rodent Scapteromys aquaticusPrimeiro relato da presença de Leptospira interrogans em roedores sigmodontíneos Scapteromys aquaticus]. / Primer informe de Leptospira interrogans en el roedor sigmodontino Scapteromys aquaticus.

Leptospirosis is a globally distributed zoonosis that can be transmitted through direct or indirect contact with the urine or tissues of infected animals. In Argentina, leptospirosis is endemic in the province of Santa Fe and epidemic outbreaks occur during floods. However, very little is known about the role that wild rodents play in the spread of the disease in Argentina. The objective of this study was to identify the host species of pathogenic Leptospira among rodents in a riverine settlement in the province of Santa Fe.We conducted a trapping session in October 2015. Kidneys of the captured animals were analyzed by real-time PCR for the LipL32 gene of pathogenic Leptospira. Animals that were positive were subjected to microscopic agglutination test (MAT) and molecular typing by amplification of the 16S rRNA gene and two multilocus sequence typing (MLST) schemes.A total of 37 rodents of the species Akodon azarae, Cavia aperea, Oligoryzomys flavescens, Rattus rattus, and Scapteromys aquaticus were captured. Real-time PCR found one male Scapteromys aquaticus that was positive. The serum of this individual and of the rest of the S. aquaticus captured (n = 18) were analyzed by MAT and were non-reactive for the 10 serovars tested. Amplification of the 16S rRNA gene identified the infective species as Leptospira interrogans, while amplification could not be obtained for the two MLST schemes.The findings of this study contribute new information concerning the presence of pathogenic Leptospira in wild rodents, which is relevant in this region because the species is widely distributed in swampy and flood-prone environments of South America.

A leptospirose é uma doença zoonótica de distribuição mundial transmitida pelo contato direto ou indireto com a urina ou os tecidos de animais infectados. Na Argentina, a leptospirose é endêmica na Província de Santa Fé com surtos epidêmicos ocorrendo com as enchentes. Sabe-se pouco sobre o papel dos roedores silvestres na propagação da doença no país. O objetivo deste estudo foi identificar as espécies hospedeiras de leptospiras patogênicas em roedores encontrados em um núcleo de povoamento ribeirinho na Província de Santa Fé.A amostragem dos roedores foi feita no mês de outubro de 2015. Os tecidos dos rins dos animais capturados foram analisados com a técnica de reação em cadeia da polimerase em tempo real (PCR-RT) quanto à presença do gene LipL32 de leptospiras patógenas. Para os animais com resultados positivos, foi realizado o teste de microaglutinação (MAT) e tipagem molecular baseada na amplificação do gene 16S rRNA e dois esquemas de tipagem por sequenciamento de locos múltiplos (MLST).Ao todo, foram capturados 37 roedores das espécies Akodon azarae, Cavia aperea, Oligoryzomys flavescens, Rattus e Scapteromys aquaticus. O ensaio de PCR-RT foi positivo em um roedor macho da espécie Scapteromys aquaticus. Os soros deste animal e dos outros S. aquaticus capturados (n = 18) foram analisados com o MAT e os resultados foram não reagentes para os 10 sorovares testados. A amplificação do gene 16S rRNA permitiu identificar a espécie infetante como sendo Leptospira interrogans e não houve amplificação nos dois esquemas de MLST.O achado deste estudo fornece um novo dado quanto à presença de leptospiras patogênicas em roedores silvestres, importante para esta área por se tratar de uma espécie de ampla distribuição em terras pantanosas e inundáveis da América do Sul.

Primer informe de Leptospira interrogans en el roedor sigmodontino Scapteromys aquaticus / First report on Leptospira interrogans in the sigmodontine rodent Scapteromys aquaticus / Primeiro relato da presença de Leptospira interrogans em roedores sigmodontíneos Scapteromys aquaticus

RESUMEN La leptospirosis es una enfermedad zoonótica de distribución mundial que puede transmitirse por contacto directo o indirecto con orina o tejidos de animales infectados. En Argentina, la leptospirosis es endémica en la provincia de Santa Fe y presenta brotes epidémicos durante las inundaciones. Sin embargo, se sabe muy poco sobre el papel que cumplen los roedores silvestres en la diseminación de la enfermedad en el país. El objetivo de este estudio fue identificar las especies hospederas de leptospiras patógenas entre los roedores presentes en un asentamiento ribereño de la provincia de Santa Fe. Se realizó un muestreo de roedores durante octubre de 2015. Los riñones de los animales capturados se analizaron por real-time PCR para el gen LipL32 de leptospiras patógenas. En los animales que resultaron positivos, se realizó test de microaglutinación (MAT) y tipificación molecular por amplificación del gen 16S rRNA y dos esquemas de MLST. Se capturaron 37 roedores de las especies Akodon azarae, Cavia aperea, Oligoryzomys flavescens, Rattus rattus y Scapteromys aquaticus. En el análisis por real-time PCR resultó positivo un macho de Scapteromys aquaticus. El suero de este individuo y del resto de los S. aquaticus capturados (n = 18) se analizaron por test de microaglutinación (MAT), y fueron no reactivos para los 10 serovares probados. La amplificación del gen 16S rRNA identificó la especie infectante como Leptospira interrogans, mientras que no se obtuvo amplificación para los dos esquemas de MLST. El hallazgo de este estudio aporta nueva información acerca de presencia de leptospiras patógenas en roedores silvestres, que es relevante para la zona por tratarse de una especie ampliamente distribuida en ambientes pantanosos e inundables de América del Sur.(AU)

ABSTRACT Leptospirosis is a globally distributed zoonosis that can be transmitted through direct or indirect contact with the urine or tissues of infected animals. In Argentina, leptospirosis is endemic in the province of Santa Fe and epidemic outbreaks occur during floods. However, very little is known about the role that wild rodents play in the spread of the disease in Argentina. The objective of this study was to identify the host species of pathogenic Leptospira among rodents in a riverine settlement in the province of Santa Fe. We conducted a trapping session in October 2015. Kidneys of the captured animals were analyzed by real-time PCR for the LipL32 gene of pathogenic Leptospira. Animals that were positive were subjected to microscopic agglutination test (MAT) and molecular typing by amplification of the 16S rRNA gene and two multilocus sequence typing (MLST) schemes. A total of 37 rodents of the species Akodon azarae, Cavia aperea, Oligoryzomys flavescens, Rattus rattus, and Scapteromys aquaticus were captured. Real-time PCR found one male Scapteromys aquaticus that was positive. The serum of this individual and of the rest of the S. aquaticus captured (n = 18) were analyzed by MAT and were non-reactive for the 10 serovars tested. Amplification of the 16S rRNA gene identified the infective species as Leptospira interrogans, while amplification could not be obtained for the two MLST schemes. The findings of this study contribute new information concerning the presence of pathogenic Leptospira in wild rodents, which is relevant in this region because the species is widely distributed in swampy and flood-prone environments of South America.(AU)

RESUMO A leptospirose é uma doença zoonótica de distribuição mundial transmitida pelo contato direto ou indireto com a urina ou os tecidos de animais infectados. Na Argentina, a leptospirose é endêmica na Província de Santa Fé com surtos epidêmicos ocorrendo com as enchentes. Sabe-se pouco sobre o papel dos roedores silvestres na propagação da doença no país. O objetivo deste estudo foi identificar as espécies hospedeiras de leptospiras patogênicas em roedores encontrados em um núcleo de povoamento ribeirinho na Província de Santa Fé. A amostragem dos roedores foi feita no mês de outubro de 2015. Os tecidos dos rins dos animais capturados foram analisados com a técnica de reação em cadeia da polimerase em tempo real (PCR-RT) quanto à presença do gene LipL32 de leptospiras patógenas. Para os animais com resultados positivos, foi realizado o teste de microaglutinação (MAT) e tipagem molecular baseada na amplificação do gene 16S rRNA e dois esquemas de tipagem por sequenciamento de locos múltiplos (MLST). Ao todo, foram capturados 37 roedores das espécies Akodon azarae, Cavia aperea, Oligoryzomys flavescens, Rattus e Scapteromys aquaticus. O ensaio de PCR-RT foi positivo em um roedor macho da espécie Scapteromys aquaticus. Os soros deste animal e dos outros S. aquaticus capturados (n = 18) foram analisados com o MAT e os resultados foram não reagentes para os 10 sorovares testados. A amplificação do gene 16S rRNA permitiu identificar a espécie infetante como sendo Leptospira interrogans e não houve amplificação nos dois esquemas de MLST. O achado deste estudo fornece um novo dado quanto à presença de leptospiras patogênicas em roedores silvestres, importante para esta área por se tratar de uma espécie de ampla distribuição em terras pantanosas e inundáveis da América do Sul.(AU)

When is a parasite not a parasite? Effects of larval tick burdens on white-footed mouse survival.

Many animal species can carry considerable burdens of ectoparasites: parasites living on the outside of a host's body. Ectoparasite infestation can decrease host survival, but the magnitude and even direction of survival effects can vary depending on the type of ectoparasite and the nature and duration of the association. When ectoparasites also serve as vectors of pathogens, the effects of ectoparasite infestation on host survival have the potential to alter disease dynamics by regulating host populations and stabilizing transmission. We quantified the impact of larval Ixodes scapularis tick burdens on both within-season and overwinter survival of white-footed mice (Peromyscus leucopus) using a hierarchical Bayesian capture-mark-recapture model. I. scapularis and P. leucopus are, respectively, vectors and competent reservoirs for the causative agents of Lyme disease, anaplasmosis, and babesiosis. Using a data set of 5587 individual mouse capture histories over sixteen years, we found little evidence for any effect of tick burdens on either within-season or overwinter mouse survival probabilities. In male mice, tick burdens were positively correlated with within-season survival probabilities. Mean maximum tick burdens were also positively correlated with population rates of change during the concurrent breeding season. The apparent indifference of mice to high tick burdens may contribute to their effectiveness as reservoir hosts for several human zoonotic pathogens.

Roles of human disturbance, precipitation, and a pathogen on the survival and reproductive probabilities of deer mice.

Climate change, human disturbance, and disease can have large impacts on the dynamics of a species by affecting the likelihood of survival and reproduction of individuals. We investigated the roles of precipitation, off-road vehicle (ORV) alteration of habitat, and infection with Sin Nombre virus on the survival and reproductive probabilities of deer mice (Peromyscus maniculatus). We used generalized linear mixed models to estimate the effects of these factors and their interactions by fitting capture-recapture data collected seasonally from 2002 to 2007 at 17 sites in the Great Basin Desert of central Utah, USA. During periods with high precipitation, we found no difference in survival and reproductive probabilities between seasons, but during drier periods, we found a reduction of overwinter survival and fall reproductive activity. Precipitation also interacted with disturbance to affect survival probabilities and female reproduction; in periods with low precipitation, deer mice on highly disturbed sites had extremely low survival probabilities and low reproductive probabilities of females compared to those of individuals from low-disturbance sites. However, high precipitation ameliorated the effect of disturbance on both parameters. Deer mice from sites with high impact of ORV disturbance also had low survival over summer. Additionally, male reproductive probabilities were diminished on highly disturbed sites in both seasons; in contrast, they were reduced only in the fall on low-disturbance sites. Density had an overall negative effect on survival and reproductive probabilities of deer mice. For females, the negative effect on reproductive activity was amplified in highly disturbed sites. We found no effect of hantavirus infection on survival probabilities of deer mice. Overall, this study revealed complexity in the determinants of deer mouse survival and reproduction given by the effects of a number of significant interactions among explanatory variables. Thus, factors that may not appear to have a strong effect when investigated alone can still be influential by modulating the effect of a different factor.

Effects of more frequent and prolonged El Niño events on life-history parameters of the degu, a long-lived and slow-reproducing rodent.

Global climate change (GCC) can have profound effects on species whose ecology is governed primarily by climatic factors. The ecology of small mammals inhabiting semiarid Chile is strongly affected by the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). During La Niña events in this area, dry conditions prevail and species may disappear from the thorn-scrub habitat. Conversely, El Niño events bring high rainfall, and associated pulses of food trigger small-mammal population increases. We used capture-mark-recapture to study responses of the degu (Octodon degus), a dominant small mammal, to variation in rainfall over 18 years. In response to a recent trend toward wetter conditions, degus reached record-high densities and maintained more stable numbers in the area. Underlying mechanisms involved variation in adult survival, juvenile persistence, and fecundity linked to rainfall changes during consecutive years (i.e., rainfall phases). During prolonged droughts, degus had low survival and produced fewer offspring, with low persistence. Following high rainfall, these parameters reversed; consecutive wet years resulted in further increases. Weak declines in fecundity and adult survival and high persistence of juveniles explained delayed responses to deteriorating conditions in initial dry years. If GCC leads to increased frequency of El Niño events, we anticipate greater numerical dominance of degus in semiarid Chile and possible range expansion. Furthermore, degus have strong impacts on other small mammal and some plant species, are important prey species, and are agricultural pests and disease reservoirs. Hence, GCC has the potential to dramatically influence their ecology in northern Chile and to have cascading effects on other components of this system.

Population dynamics of two sympatric rodents in a variable environment: rainfall, resource availability, and predation.

Precipitation plays an important role in the dynamics of species found in arid and semiarid environments. However, population fluctuations generally are driven by a combination of multiple factors whose relative contribution may vary through time and among species. We monitored fluctuations of species in three trophic levels for >17 years at a semiarid community in north-central Chile. The region is strongly affected by the El Niño Southern Oscillation, resulting in high variation in rainfall that triggers dramatic changes in food resource availability, with strong effects on upper trophic levels. We focused our analyses on the role played by endogenous and exogenous (climatic) factors on the dynamics of two important rodent species in the community, Octodon degus and Phyllotis darwini. We documented population fluctuations of several orders of magnitude in response to wet and dry episodes of different strength and duration. P. darwini reached similar maximum densities, regardless of the duration of high-rainfall events, whereas O. degus showed additive effects of multiple wet years. Time series diagnostic tools revealed oscillations with a 5-year periodicity in rainfall, which may be the cause of the same periodicity and a weak second-order signal observed in the rodent dynamics. However, the dynamics of both rodent species were dominated by strong first-order processes, suggesting an important role of direct density dependence. Intraspecific competition, expressed as the ratio of rodent density/rainfall (or food resources) explained more than two-thirds of the variation in the population rate of change, whereas less than one-third was explained by lagged rainfall (or food resources). We detected no significant effects of predation. Our results contribute to a growing number of examples of dynamics governed by the combined effect of density dependence and climatic forcing. They also reveal strong bottom-up regulation that may be common in other arid environments.

Seasonal variation in Sin Nombre virus infections in deer mice: preliminary results.

The proportion of deer mice (Peromyscus maniculatus) with recently acquired Sin Nombre virus (SNV) infections is an indicator of epizootic intensity and may be key in predicting outbreaks of hantavirus cardio-pulmonary syndrome in humans. We investigated whether incidence of recent infections was related to season, sex, reproductive status, or habitat disturbance. In May and September, 2006, we sampled 912 deer mice at six sites in Utah. We determined SNV antibody prevalence and estimated the number of recent infections with an avidity enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Antibody prevalence in adults (n = 735) was 22%, and putative maternal antibody prevalence in juveniles (n = 177) was 7%. Sampling period explained a significant amount of the variance in the probability of recent infections, which were two times more common in May versus September. Additionally, prevalence of high-avidity maternal antibodies (i.e., from dams with older infections) in juveniles did not correspond to the antibody avidity patterns in adult females. In May, no juveniles had high-avidity antibodies compared to adult females (49%); in September, avidity could not be measured in juveniles because none were seropositive, despite large sample sizes (n = 84) and an 11% seroprevalence in adult females. Based on the results, coupled with those from the literature, we speculate that the majority of new infections may occur predominantly in the spring and that SNV may impair reproductive output of females.